Sunday, October 25, 2009

About cmx forex (2)

CMS Forex strives to serve the emerging retail segment of the Forex community. Its commitment to providing innovative currency trading technology, fair dealing practices, and excellent customer service establishes CMS Forex as a major force that traders look to for advanced Forex charting, Forex news, and fund safety.

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About Cmx forex

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CMS Forex was founded by professional Forex traders, Forex brokers, and software developers, and as a result has been able to identify traders’ needs from the very beginning. Since 1999, CMS Forex’s mission has been to provide the most powerful currency trading technology combined with quality execution, competitive services, and dependable customer service. Over the past seven years, CMS Forex has quickly become one of the world’s leading online retail currency trading institutions, providing secure, user-friendly Forex trading software.

With the achievements of 900% growth in the past three years, and the execution of over $80 billion in clients’ transactions in 2005, CMS Forex has ensured itself and its valued traders an advantageous position for the future.

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Fundamental review of the week from 01.06. year to 05.06.2009

The week begins with retail sales in Australia in April. The sector enjoyed solid sales in recent months as the combination of fiscal and monetary incentives "otduha 'consumer portfolios. Over the past months, signs of improving the overall consumer confidence also support retail. By continuing incentives (in the form of fiscal variations) during April, and total disappearance of the speculator market during this period we expect a new sound-percent increase in sales for the month. Later PMI index of European countries and the euro will show whether improvements in the Old Continent and may lead to new "bichi movement in favor of the euro. The main index of U.S. consumer spending for April will also be removed - the capacity and extend the recession reduced price to a point of deterioration and inflation pressure down during the next 12 months. But it is proven that this will show a little more slowly in the data, based on inflation, which has stabilized recently. Manufacturing index recovered from 28-year bottomed in 32.9 in 40.1 Dkemvri it for April, which was the lowest for the past 18 years, if the last 6 months were never happen.

The History of Forex Trading

Many centuries ago, the value of goods were expressed in terms of other goods. This sort of economics was based on the barter system between individuals. The obvious limitations of such a system encouraged establishing more generally accepted mediums of exchange. It was important that a common base of value could be established. In some economies, items such as teeth, feathers even stones served this purpose, but soon various metals, in particular gold and silver, established themselves as an accepted means of payment as well as a reliable storage of value.

Coins were initially minted from the preferred metal and in stable political regimes, the introduction of a paper form of governmental I.O.U. during the Middle Ages also gained acceptance. This type of I.O.U. was introduced more successfully through force than through persuasion and is now the basis of today’s modern currencies.

Before the first World war, most Central banks supported their currencies with convertibility to gold. Paper money could always be exchanged for gold. However, for this type of gold exchange, there was not necessarily a Centrals bank need for full coverage of the government's currency reserves. This did not occur very often, however when a group mindset fostered this disastrous notion of converting back to gold in mass, panic resulted in so-called "Run on banks " The combination of a greater supply of paper money without the gold to cover led to devastating inflation and resulting political instability.

Daily Technical Analysis 28.05.2009




U.S. dollar continued to man in the Asian session, as we expect to maintain and test the downward movement of price in the area of support at 1.3722, which now appears stable enough to reduce a significant growth of green money. In support of the estimates appear to fall down values of stochastic indicator and MACD. In the opposite option, enhancing the confidence of traders in the green money will direct cost to resisting 1.3860 and 1.4050.

Dollar benefit from the problems in Europe

Foreign exchange markets the dollar strengthened and gathered up to the euro and pounds.

Concerns about the budget of Germany, expressed in the statement of Finance Minister of the country and fall in the UK BVR squeezed position of the European currencies, and thus gave a predominance of green money.

DXY dollar index has increased from 84.105 to 85.138, with a week added 1.5 percent on their level.

On a weekly basis most traded pair EUR / USD has changed with 0.4 percent at the expense of the interconnected currency from 1.3520 dollars per unit, the euro traded in the U.S. Friday trading at the 1.3289 dollars.

Increased loss of gold, whose price last week fell by 3.5 percent. Last night, April futures become cheaper with 1.8% or $ 16.70 to $ 923.20.

Fundamental review of the week from 01.06. year to 05.06.2009

The week begins with retail sales in Australia in April. The sector enjoyed solid sales in recent months as the combination of fiscal and monetary incentives "otduha 'consumer portfolios. Over the past months, signs of improving the overall consumer confidence also support retail. By continuing incentives (in the form of fiscal variations) during April, and total disappearance of the speculator market during this period we expect a new sound-percent increase in sales for the month. Later PMI index of European countries and the euro will show whether improvements in the Old Continent and may lead to new "bichi movement in favor of the euro. The main index of U.S. consumer spending for April will also be removed - the capacity and extend the recession reduced price to a point of deterioration and inflation pressure down during the next 12 months. But it is proven that this will show a little more slowly in the data, based on inflation, which has stabilized recently. Manufacturing index recovered from 28-year bottomed in 32.9 in 40.1 Dkemvri it for April, which was the lowest for the past 18 years, if the last 6 months were never happen.

ITS NOT THE SYSTEM

After more than 2 years of trading, I can tell you a story about forex system. Forex system is a way to trade to have higher chances of profit. Unfortunately not all forex system works. This is because its not the system that is not working. It is you.

What if I tell you that I have a system that consist of Moving Average only. The system can make profit and will minimize you loses or even give you a chance to break even during hard times.

You would be thirll to test it out only to find out that in the end you are losing money and you say the system is crap. The truth is if one person is making money using the exact same system yet you are losing money. So where do you think the fault is? Is it with the system or is it with yourself?

You can never gain profit in Forex until you figure out what is wrong with you. Most of the time when you are losing money you would blame it on the market, news, system etc but never on yourself. Until you figure out what you did wrong, any system no matter how good will fail in your hands. After you realize what you did wrong, then you can make money, seriously.

When you know what not to do, you can trade without any indicator. I myself is trading using only MA now. Took me a while to understand but once you see it, you no longer depending on any indicator. It is your judgement that counts.

I never know what I would learn the further I go in this world or Forex. Right now I am starting to understand why some traders trade without any indicator. The best indicator is in your brain. You just need to develope it. It will take some time. No hurry.

TRADING ONLY WITH MOVING AVERAGE

At the moment I am rather busy. Moving to a new place and house. The house still needs a lot of work. As a result, I do not have time to update this blog. Trading is still going on but on a shorter timeframe. Result is consistent now. AudUsd is very kind at the moment with no sudden movement.

In the next few weeks I will show you how to trade using only MA. As usual what works for me may not work for you. This is because some of you may not be able to follow the rules of the game.

RULES OF THE GAME
1. Trade based on your capital and the time that you have. The bigger your capital the longer the TF. The more time you have the longer the TF. Vice versa.

2. Only trade at the direction pointed by the MA pairs. If the MA pairs is showing mixed direction, do not trade. The MA pairs must be pointing at the same direction.

3. If a trade suddenly change direction, do not hesitate to close it at a loss and turn the trade. This is the hardest part where most of you failed. Free your mind or become a loser all your life.

4. Keep in mind, there is no such thing as winning all the time. Just make sure you win a lot more than you lose. In the end your profit will grow along with your confident.

Simple system with simple rules. I like to keep it simple. No point of having the most complex system when simple system can have the same result. With this system you will be out of the market most of the time. This is because you will only be taking the big move and avoiding the small move and market noise.

Last advise. Do not anticipate. Forex is not a game of inteligence eventhough this system at full swing will show you possible turning point. I am having a possible turning point for audusd at 0.7200 but I will not take it coz there will be market swing before the actual turn. Why wast time waiting for the big move when you can actually see when its going to move.

In the mean time, good luck for all of you. I will be back once my pc is online again. At the moment I am posting this on a laptop. I dont like laptop, too small keypad, makes it hard to do speed typing.

BIG PLAYERS SEE ONLY BIG NUMBERS

I am typing this from my pc. It a bit of a mess now, the new house still needs a little work and I am not feeling well lately. Maybe its the change in climate.

This week I am going to talk about numbers only. Forex is after all based on numbers. Example, I have a long position on GBPUSD @ 1.4700 with a profit of 320 pips at the moment and still holding.

What I am going to say is big players only see big number. The do not see the last 2 digit. The last 2 digit is for scalpers. Big players only see the 1st 3 or 4 digit only. So if a bank wants to buy or hedge a currency they will give an instruction to buy at 1.47. Thats it. Simple yet people fails to see it.

So what happens at 1.47? The price will bounce of or hover around it but things arent always what they appear to be. What happen is price will have a range between 1.46 - 1.48. That is almost 200 pips wide range. Imagine what happen to your 50 or 100 pip SL?? Now you know why people lose money even though they have the right direction.

These big players have big money they dont mind to stand few hundreds negative pips coz in the end they will profit big time. What they do is they will have a standing order to trade at certain level. Because the total amount of order, the market cannot fill the order in 1 transaction and so price will hover or bounce of a certain level. This is where double top or bottom appear. Behind it is the action of filling orders by these big players.

Example EJ currently have a top of 1.34 and a bottom of 1.30. Big players are playing the game here. At the moment EJ is climbing and there is a big possibility that it will reach 1.34 again. I have a standing order to buy EJ at 1.30. If it hits there is a very big chance for 400 pips gain. Only time will tell.



Attach is a chart of GBPUSD. If you look carefully, you can see my actual entry point. I will explain the rest of the chart in due time.

WHAT FOREX IS NO



Forex is not a quick rich scheme.
Forex is not easy even though my blog says so.
Forex is not a place for newbie
Forex is not something you can learn overnight
If you needed the money, dont put it in Forex. Seriously. Go somewhere else.
Forex is a journey, enjoy it.
There is no such thing as holy grail coz there is no perfection in this world. If perfection exist in this world it would be boring. No more room for improvement.
Forex is not rocket science. There is no right or wrong. There is only probability.

NEW PLACE, NEW SCHEDULE AND A NEW SYSTEM

On April 2009, I moved to Kuala Lumpur. A new place requires me to have new schedule. I dont have much time as I would like in front of a PC which means, shorter time for me to trade. It requires me to adapt to the time I have to trade and make a new system.

In my quest to adapt my existing system to a new time constraint trading requirement, I accidently stumble onto a new system. Its a very simple system that has shown good result for the month of April and May at the moment.

Just to show you what I have stumble upon, here is a screen shot of my demo account that I have used to run the test. It doesn't show high accuracy but it shows a return of over 100% last month and a small return this month so far.

Here is the hard part. What if I say that I can actually have an accuracy of 100%. Meaning I can win all the time with this system. The numbers you see there is me using a demo account trading with limited time with no regards for the system rules.

Would it be nice to actually win all the time. I will keep you guys posted on the result by the end of this month. In the meantime I cannot be online as long as I like to. For my friends, I know my YM is not online for a long time but just leave a message and I will answer when I have the time.

NEW STRATEGY AND THE RESULT IS ...

On my last post, I was telling you about a new system. I decided to do forward testing. As usual all testing was done on a demo account. No live account was hurt during the testing period.

The result as you see is superb. There are actually 2 part of testing. The early trades are done on a shorter time frame, 5 minute to be exact. The later part of testing is done on a longer time frame, 1 hour.

I must say the system looks promising on the longer time frame. On the shorter time, I just dont have the time to monitor the trades.

As of now the system is running on my live account. At the moment on 4th June my account is up 40%. Hopefully everything goes well and I will have good profit by end of the month. Will keep you inform on the result later.

TRADING THE DAILY CHARTS

Due to restricted time and Internet connection that I have now, I have opted to trading using the daily charts.

Its not as aggressive and thrilling as trading on the shorter time frame but the result is about the same minus the headache. I'm beginning to like daily trading. I need to make decision once in a while and the rest of the time I just hold my position.

On a daily chart, the candlestick is much easier to read and pattern is much clearer. On 13th August I opened 3 position. 2 of which is still holding while 1 has been closed. At the moment all position are in profit.

Daily trading is not for everyone. It took me sometime to adjust on the requirements of daily trading, but once you are there you never look back.


Wellcome To My Forex Site

Wellcome to my forex site